Brace Yourselves for More Downpours: Kenyan Weather Takes a Wet Turn Amid Weakening La Niña.

Kenya is in for a soggy November as heavy rains continue across the country, signaling the peak of the short rains season. While forecasters had predicted a dry spell due to La Niña, the phenomenon is now expected to be weak and short-lived, allowing the rains to persist. The Kenya Meteorological Department has advised residents to prepare for varying intensities of rainfall, with some regions bracing for heavy storms this week.

The Kenya Meteorological Department has indicated that rainfall will continue over several regions, including the highlands east and west of the Rift Valley, the Lake Victoria Basin, the Coast, and parts of Northeastern Kenya. Deputy Director Kennedy Thiong’o noted that while the rains will vary in intensity, some areas could experience isolated heavy storms this week, warranting caution among residents.

On a global scale, weather agencies, including the US Climate Prediction Centre, report a 57% chance of La Niña forming between now and December. However, they emphasize that if it does develop, it is likely to remain weak and short-lived, thus minimizing its typical effects such as droughts in Kenya. The Center explained that predicting precise patterns of La Niña or El Niño has become increasingly challenging due to climate change.

The ongoing rains have brought significant benefits, particularly for the agricultural sector. Favorable weather has helped stabilize food prices, providing relief to both farmers and consumers. For example, the average wholesale price of a 90kg bag of maize dropped from Sh3,450 in May to Sh3,250 in June. According to the Food and Nutrition Security report by the State Department of Agriculture, this decrease in prices can be attributed to the increased supply of produce, favorable weather, and market adjustments.

The rains have been a double-edged sword, offering much-needed agricultural benefits while raising concerns in flood-prone areas. Residents are encouraged to stay alert and follow updates from the Meteorological Department. Though La Niña appears weaker this season, Kenya’s evolving weather patterns highlight the growing uncertainties posed by climate change. Staying informed and prepared is essential as the rains continue to nourish the land and shape lives.

Article By Suzy Nyongesa.